Shields was the one player where a franchise tag might have been expected from Green Bay. There seems to be some thoughts that he will be in high demand as a young secondary member with blazing speed plus his ability to lock down some of the top wide receivers in the NFL. According to Ian Rapoport of NFL.com, Green Bay wants to give Shields a Tim Jennings-like contract where Chicago Bears inked him up for 22 million dollars over four years. It appears like Shields wants a little bit more than that, so the question is how much is too much for Green Bay?
There are a couple things to think about here when looking at Shields right now. First, there are rumblings the salary cap will increase by 20 percent in three years meaning if a team were to give a player much more money than expected, they might be protected three years down to road if they screw up. Second, Miami Dolphins re-signed Brett Grimes, a 30-year-old Pro Bowl cornerback for 32 million with 16 million guaranteed spread over four years. Shields is 26 years old with some promise, but not the accolades Grimes has right now with Pro Bowl appearances. In my eyes, Shields will probably seek a contract near Grimes but fall somewhere in-between Grimes and Jennings. If that's the case, there is reason to sign Shields but if he gets Grimes money, Green Bay can afford to see him go.
Sometimes, it gets lost on people that paying a player when they should be heading into their prime usually yields results. The prime of a professional athlete can be tough to define yet there is evidence to show when it actually happens for most guys. Green Bay have rarely gave up on players when they know a ceiling still might be there. Additionally if Shields was 29 right now with the same sort of accolades, he will probably be a complete afterthought for Green Bay and move on to greener pastures. The opportunities are endless with Shields, but if a team overpays him, it will not be Green Bay.
Certain positions on Green Bay do not have depth, but the secondary features a stable of Tramon Williams, Micah Hyde, Casey Hayward, Davon House and Jarrett Bush. Hayward was a damn near Pro Bowler during his rookie year and could not stay on the field this season. Hyde became a pretty strong player by the end of the year plus Williams played his best in the last couple of years in the final couple weeks of the season. They could afford to lose Shields. He is a fan favorite, but they have the depth to afford to lose Shields if a team gives him an asinine amount of money.
As for Raji, no one really expected Green Bay to give him the franchise tag. This seems to be a fractured relationship honestly. Packers tried to pay him, but Raji felt he was owed eight million dollars. Raji pulled the anti-Bill Hall having one of the more underwhelming years in a contract season. There is a chance Raji might feel slighted because Defensive Coordinator Dom Capers likes to rotate players in and out. Although money talks and if he gets the James Jones treatment which is entirely possible where Raji does not get the contract he wants, there are good odds he might take the offer Green Bay puts on the table for him. There is a great deal of unpredictability with Raji more so than Shields.
Others have wondered if the Packers might be hunting bigger fish in the sea getting rid of Shields and Raji all together opening more money for Green Bay to make some major moves. Jairus Byrd is completely on the table in my eyes if that's the case, same goes for T.J. Ward or Linval Joesph. All of these players could be players for Green Bay or nothing at all. With not applying tags, it means there is possibility for more free agents as people murmured about in the past month.
This is the first time in a couple years where big name, likable Packers are involved with free agency. Honestly, it is a terrifying experience because there will be news of a player visiting this team or a player slighted by Green Bay's contract. It is time to see what happens in free agency and how this team could change for the better or worse in 2014.
Charlie.
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