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Showing posts with label Dwight Howard. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Dwight Howard. Show all posts

The Last Leg: Western Conference

When I was in middle school I became obsessed with Led Zeppelin. They were the cock of the walk, the bee’s knees and the hands down best band of all time. I started buying their albums, I created a really shitty clay sculpture of them (I’m talking really shitty), I read the book, “Stairway to Heaven: Uncensored” (which I probably shouldn’t have read because there was juts a ton of drug and sex references littered throughout the book) and ultimately, through my obsessions with Zeppelin, I found out “How the West was won.”

40 years later in the NBA, we have no clue who is going to win the West, but there are a couple things I have been thinking about the hotly contested conference. Let’ talk final quarter people, and if you missed my final quarter thoughts on the Eastern Conference, click here.
1. KD and Russ.
I put this topic first, so before you get worn out from reading anything else I put in the body of this post, I want you to realize that Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook will be fine. They actually need each other.

Thunder dropped their first three games after Westbrook’s return, one of the games coming against Cleveland, and people just started flying off the handle. “He takes away from Durant”, “Doesn’t know his place”, “Stupid gunner” yada, yada, yada. Let us remember a few things about the NBA:

1. For Finals Contenders, regular season losses rarely matter. The season is a grind. It is six months long, and packed with 82 games before the playoffs start. Every once in a while a bad loss happens. Thunder lost three straight games, and it did not change the fact they are still indeed the one seed. However, in those three games, what happened? They let Russell work out his kinks, and they won the following three games. Let us not get hung up on February losses, thanks.

2. Kevin Durant didn’t get “worse” since Russell has gotten back. I have seen waaaayyyy too many people talking about how Russell takes away from Durant. And that ladies and gentleman, is bullshit. Let’s take a look a Kevin’s season averages and then compare them to the last 6 games since Russell has been back:

PPG
RPG
APG
Shot Attempts
Season Averages
31.6
7.7
6.7
19.2
Averages from last 6 gms w/ Russ
34.1
7.0
6.1
22.6

So what do you see there? I see a dude that has shot and scored more, while keeping his distributing and rebounding numbers constant, since his teammate and top 10 player, Westbrook has been back. Also, in the six games, Durant scored 42 points twice and 37 points another time. His offensive numbers have not taken a “hit”. 

To me, the explanation is simple, an athlete as dynamic as Russell does nothing but take pressure off everyone else on offense. Durant got more shots, and more easy shots, since the return of his buddy Russ. Defenses can’t just 100% key in on KD anymore, because the athletic prowess of Westbrook will torch them if they turn a blind eye. A balance that is crucial for their playoff success, as documented last year when they were easily disposed by Memphis Grizzlies. Russ makes KD better. I don’t care what anyone says otherwise.

3. Take a gander back up at Durant’s stats up there. They are beautiful. To this point, they are his career’s masterpiece, and because of Durant, Thunder are the one seed. However, with the return of Russell, and the closing of the season, I would suggest Durant takes a passenger’s seat to Westbrook for the closing month and a half. Durant proved to be unstoppable this season. We all know this, and as of now, he is locked neck-and-neck in a heated MVP race. TO me though, I think it is time to choose whether he wants the MVP or playoff success.

Thunder will need Russell Westbrook to be rolling on all cylinders come May. He only played in a month or so worth of games this year and his shot is already a streaky one. At this point, while he seems to be getting acclimated just fine, I don’t think it would hurt to give him more of the reigns and really start to feel himself going into the playoffs with knowledge that Kevin Durant needs no warm up.

Westbrook was a little shaky in the first few games back, but in the last three, has looked more like himself. He averaged 21.6 points, 4.6 rebounds and 8.3 assists per game, over the last three and managed to post a triple-double in his last effort. They will still win games with this strategy, albeit giving Russ the main stage would easily derail Durant’s MVP campaign.

Whatever the matter, people just need to stop hating on Russell. KD and him get along, and I think with that duo healthy, this is your Western Conference team to beat.

2. Hot in Houston
Rockets are probably the league’s hottest team right now, and on Tuesday night, beat Miami Heat en route to the their 12th victory in 14 tries. 

“Yeah, ahh, Houston, we have lift off.”

Before they beat Miami on Tuesday, I had compiled stats from the previous last 13 games and what I found was a very efficient Dwight Howard. The man has been a monster, and seems to have found his old ways. In the aforementioned stretch, he scored 22.2 points per game, pulled down 12.1 rebounds per game as well as swatting an average of two shots as well.

The 22.3 points is three above his season average of 19.0, and his muscular shoulders don’t appear to be getting weaker. To help aid him, has been who else, but the Beard also known as James Harden.

And take it from me, beards are in.

Harden has been a monster in that same stretch, and last week, he took home Western Conference Player of the Week. Over the last 14 games he averaged 27.1 points to go along with 5.9 assists per game and shot 40% from downtown. He also has shot 113 free throws, and made 99 of them.

Behind Harden and Howard, the Rockets are now the West’s three seed, and in the last month, they have beaten the Spurs, Suns, Mavericks, Wizards, and now Heat over the course of their last 14 games. They are rolling, and if Patrick Beverly and Jeremy Lin can somehow not completely fall apart in the playoffs, this could be a team that is competing into June.

3. Blinded by the Light!!
What a story in Phoenix. Before the season, the media labeled this team as a rebuilding project, a team that would not compete for years. Instead, the Suns are extremely efficient, pick-n-rolling, offensive masters. It has been fun to watch.

First credit has to be given to Jeff Hornacek, for coming into a challenging role as a rookie head coach, and getting his talent in situations where they can succeed. The Morris twins had been all but written off, but this year they have been fantastic hustle players. Same goes to Channing Frye and PJ Tucker, neither are incredible individual players, but they are specialists (Frye 3-point, Tucker hustle), and Hornacek used them that way.

Gerald Green has literally flown back on to the radar. Getting his first opportunity to start ever, and Green impressed in a major way. Averaging 15 points per game and shooting a steady 38% from downtown, Green fought his way off the bench. He had never started more then 28 games in his career, and this year he already started 42. It has been a long and rocky road for Green. So to see him achieve success serves as a great reminder that if you stick around and keep working hard, good things happen.

However, the main difference in the Desert has been the additions of Eric Bledsoe, and the emergence of Goran Dragic. Bledsoe, unfortunately had a meniscus injury and missed significant time, but the rumor is he has been practicing a little and could be something like two weeks away from a return. We should learn not to rush these guys, but I will be keeping an eye on this situation moving forward. For the season, he averaged 18 points 5.8 assists and 4.3 rebounds per game. With long arms and being as athletic as he is, he quickly became a matchup problem for his NBA foes. Hopefully he can bounce back quickly.

Meanwhile, Dragic has been an absolute monster. Averaging 20.6 points per contest, while shooting 51% and doling over six assists to boot. He has been the battery pack for the Suns, and it seems everything he is setting a new career high in something. He also expanded his three point shooting, and for the season is hitting from range at a 41% clip. Easily a career high, and the first time he has topped 40% from deep. He has been a real firecracker.

What is funny is before the season, Phoenix prepared for a very long season. And had been stock-piling draft picks for the upcoming draft. Aside from their own picks, they also have Minnesota, Washington, and Indiana’s first round pick. As well as, the Lakers 2015 first round pick.

While a lot of the picks are protected, so they might not get them this year, all of them will be filtered to Phoenix at some point in time. The Lakers one is particularly hilarious because they are a team that needs all the help they can get, and they gave away three first round picks to get Steve Nash’s old body.

Basically, Suns are a competitive team, with a lot of draft day assets, and a good coach. Moving forward, this is a team worth watching.

4. The Unfair West.
In the Eastern Conference blog, I talked a little bit on tanking, and why it is a problem. Something needs to be changed, we know that, and Bill Simmons just posted a column that goes a little more in-depth if you are interested. Today, I have another suggestion that could make the NBA a better product.

Looking at the standings, it is an understatement in saying that the Western Conference is just superior to the East. The West is a fucking war zone compared to the East, aka “The Land of Patty Cakes”.

Only Indiana Pacers and Miami Heat would be good enough record wise to make the playoffs in the vaunted Western Conference. Toronto Raptors and Chicago Bulls would both be in the hunt for the post season, but they also would also be on the outside looking in.
Take a look at the current NBA standing by Conference. 

Eastern Conference
1. Indiana Pacers 46-15
2. Miami Heat 43-15
3. Toronto Raptors 33-26
4. Chicago Bulls 34-27
5. Washington Wizards 32-29
6. Brooklyn Nets 30-29
7. Charlotte Bobcats 28-33
8. Atlanta Hawks 26-33
9. Detroit Pistons 24-37
10. Cleveland Cavaliers 24-38
Absolute Shambles: New York Knicks 

Western Conference
1. Oklahoma City Thunder 45-15
2. San Antonio Spurs 44-16
3. Houston Rockets 42-19
4. Portland Trail Blazers 42-19
5. Los Angeles Clippers 42-20
6. Golden State Warriors 38-24
7. Phoenix Suns 35-24
8. Dallas Mavericks 36-26
9. Memphis Grizzlies 34-26
10. Minnesota Timberwolves 30-30
11. Denver Nuggets 26-34
12. New Orleans 24-37

As you can see basically the entire Western Conference would be in the hunt for an Eastern Conference playoff seed. Meanwhile, teams like Minnesota and Memphis would be three to six seeds in the East are regulated to 82-game seasons, while the Heat pounds a weak franchise like the Charlotte Bobcats in the post season.

So what can be done? Logistically, only one move really makes since, and that would be moving a team like…gulp… Milwaukee, to Seattle, allowing them join the West, while simultaneously letting at least one of the eastern Western Conference teams (Minnesota, Memphis or New Orleans) move into the Eastern Conference.

Unfortunately, that moves really only satisfies one franchise, and devastates all Milwaukee Bucks fans. So my other suggestion would be, why not play out the regular season, but just take the best 16 teams record wise for the playoffs, instead of the best eight from each conference and set up an NCAA tournament style seeding and bracket.

Using this system the playoff seedings would end up looking like this:
1. Oklahoma City 46-15
2. Indiana 46-15
3. Miami 43-15
4. San Antonio 44-16
5. Houston 42-19
6. Portland 42-19
7. LA Clippers 40-20
8. Golden State 38-24
9. Phoenix 35-25
10. Dallas 36-26
11. Memphis 34-26
12. Toronto 33-26
13. Chicago 34-27
14. Washington 32-29
15. Brooklyn 30-29
16. Minnesota 30-30

With this format, just eliminated slums like Atlanta and Charlotte from the playoffs. Added good teams like Memphis and Minnesota, and created the possibility for entertaining cross conference playoff rivalries.
Houston could be battling Miami in an unprecedented second round match up. We could watch a first round coaching battle of Pop vs Thibs. In future years, you could possibly watch the Heat play the Pacers in the finals or Harden going back to OKC to try and beat his old cronies for the title.

I think that this format could be fun. And who says no to simply letting all the best regular season teams (instead of just some of them) get a chance to play for a championship? This is something that needs to be thought about in great depth, because I don’t really feel like watching the Hawks vs. Pacers first round matchup, and honestly, I would love for K Love to finally get in the playoffs.
He deserves to get in there once during his time in Minnesota.

Bucks Buzz: Monday February 10th

Even though it has been a bad year for Milwaukee thus far, Mitch Pratt and Charlie Tritschler will provide you with a bi-weekly update on the Bucks ranging from recaps, links and other neat stuff.  

Hot Recap Takes

Saturday: Rockets 101 Bucks 95 -  A rather competitive effort from Milwaukee's professional basketball team. A bad second quarter plagued Milwaukee, and that's a microcosm of the season where Milwaukee has one bad quarter screwing up everything else. Houston received a big game from Dwight Howard with 27 points and 13 rebounds continuing the trend of big men having huge games against Milwaukee. Jeremy Lin had a great game with 18 points on 8/15 shooting with a +9 PER. As for Milwaukee, they had double-doubles from John Henson in his second game back from an injury, and Zaza Pachulia had 12 and 10 off the bench. Quite possibly the most encouraging performance came from Nate Wolters. He started again with a career high 19 points with 9/15 shooting with seven rebounds and only two turnovers. Granted, Houston's perimeter defense cannot guard a gargoyle, but still maybe this will jumpstart Wolters' confidence to be more of a shooter. Even though the Bucks lost, I am happy they put up a decent effort at home for the fans on Saturday night.

Cool thing Bucks did on Saturday was put their MVP season ticket holders on the center line. I like that move a ton.




Revisiting the Bucks trade block 
We are about a week and half away from the trading deadline. Gary Neal did nothing for his trade prospects, but I have to believe he gets move at some point. Ersan Ilyasova bothered by a bad back, but still there is a chance he might get moved with two years and 15 million dollars left on his contract. Caron Butler is beloved by some people in Milwaukee, but he is another piece that could be on the move. I doubt Milwaukee moves Larry Sanders or Zaza. Additionally, I think no one wants the albatross contract of O.J. Mayo although I am sure no Bucks fans would be sad to see him go elsewhere. Ilyasova would probably gain back the most stuff for Milwaukee, but I doubt any of their pieces will gain them an extra first-round draft pick.

Links
There were multiple Giannis Antetokounmpo articles out there this week. Scoop Jackson wrote one for ESPN about how much he truly enjoys the game of basketball.

The other Giannis article I speak of is a Q and A with a Greek reporter. The biggest thing discovered in here is Milwaukee needs a Souvlaki spot.

What to watch
Milwaukee started a lineup of Wolters, Brandon Knight, Khris Middleton, Henson and Sanders. That seems like a dream lineup for Milwaukee fans, and if Sanders is fully recovered from his blurred vision as he got an elbow to the eye early in the game. It would be interesting to see it play out for a full game versus the first four minutes of the game.

Upcoming schedule
Before the All-Star Break, Milwaukee has two home games this week against Boston tonight and New Orleans on Wednesday night. Maybe they could grab one to get to double-digits before the break.

Charlie. 

NBA Future Power Rankings: 4.) - 1.)


by Adam Hatlak, edited by Charlie Tritschler.  

Late December/early January is generally when the NBA starts to heat up. For this NBA season, this is especially true. With all of the injuries to major stars and one of the most anticipated draft classes in recent memory coming up, the landscape of the NBA is in store for a major shakeup. Due to all the changes, now is a good time to look at what the NBA will look like for the next 3-5 years. These Power Rankings were made from a fan’s perspective including many different variables: probability of future success, likeability of organization, trust in front office, and ability to acquire/retain quality players. All of the criteria are applied for the next 3-5 years, as anything further into the future is increasingly more difficult to predict.

Teams ranked from 30.) - 25.) 
Teams ranked from 24) - 20.)
Teams ranked from 19.) -15.) 
Teams ranked from 14.) - 10.) 
Teams ranked from   9.) - 5.)  

4.) Houston Rockets
Key Assets: James Harden, Dwight Howard, Chandler Parsons, Omer Asik, Jeremy Lin, Daryl Morey.

Reason for Hope: Daryl Morey built this team through acquiring quality assets and turning them into superstars, only Houston only acquired Parsons through the draft. Harden and Howard both have top-10 potential as individuals and capable of being one of the most deadly pick’n’roll combinations in the league. Parsons fits in very well with this team, as he is not asked to do more than he is capable of due to the abilities of his teammates. The Rockets are guaranteed to get extra value on the court before or at the trade deadline, whether they are finally able to turn Asik into a new player, or if they convince him to man the second unit inside like he did in Chicago. If this team figures it out, they could be extremely dominant in the West.

Reason for Concern: Despite Houston’s ability to build this team without very little homegrown talent, there are significant concerns about their top stars. Harden has admittedly not given his all on defense at times and may lack the ability to shut down opponents top scorers. There will always be concerns about Howard’s maturity, and his main advantage over his peers is his athleticism, something that will fade as he ages. Asik and Lin are very nice role players, but their salary skyrockets in the future, making them difficult pieces to trade. A move with Lin or Asik that may be necessary in the future, as Parsons will not always be available for a dirt cheap deal. This team still has a few more roster moves to make before being a legitimate title contender.

Key Decision Looming: What do they get back for Asik? There have been multiple times where it seems like Houston had a plan in place to deal Asik, and both parties certainly need to move on from each other. As time passes, his trade value decreases greatly, due to not being on the court and his contract next year. The Rockets stated they wanted two first round picks for Asik, but when this is all said and done, it seems likely they’ll move him for a heavily protected first rounder.

3.) Indiana Pacers
Key Assets: Paul George, Roy Hibbert, Lance Stephenson, David West, Danny Granger, Frank Vogel.

Reason for Hope: A year after winning the Most Improved Player award, George made another leap, becoming one of the top five players in the game. Hibbert maintained his high level of play from the playoffs last year, and as a whole, Pacers are getting more respect from the rest of the league, refs included. Stephenson is improving as a player as well, and has become the type of player the Pacers need to lock up to a long-term deal this offseason. Perhaps most importantly, no team in the NBA looks hungrier this year than the Pacers, and it seems like nothing but defeating Miami Heat in the playoffs will satisfy that hunger. This team seems stable enough to go to battle with the same core for the next few seasons.

Reason for Concern: It has not been an issue yet this season, but decisions regarding Granger are looming. Granger was the leader and soul of this team prior to George’s rise to stardom, and dealing with his return or departure could prove problematic to team chemistry, a true strength for the Pacers. George and Stephenson both came into the season with very small contracts that were very team friendly. George has already been extended, but Stephenson is next and will require a significant raise. West has been great for the team, but is old and has an injury history; will he be able to stay healthy when the Pacers need him most? It also feels like the team gets overrated slightly due to their ability to match up well against the Heat. They are still an elite team, but look better to casual fans, as they can dominate Miami inside.

Key Decision Looming: Is Danny Granger move valuable on the court or in a trade? Granger's deal is expiring and is likely to move on next season so the Pacers can extend Stephenson, this is leading to multiple trade rumors surrounding Granger. The truth is he is most valuable on the court for Indiana. It is clear they are gunning for the title this year, and Granger coming off the bench, assuming he is willing to accept that role giving the best chance to do win a championship. Allowing Granger to rack up points with the second unit lets the Pacers play the hot hand between him and Stephenson in crunch time. Even though Granger once had star status, he would be a great veteran leader while they make a run at the Heat. The team should allow Granger to contribute to a potential title team in Indiana and let him walk after the season if they cannot afford him.

2.) Miami Heat
Key Assets: LeBron James, Dwyane Wade, Chris Bosh, Pat Riley, Erik Spoelstra.

Reason for Hope: Any time you have James, the outlook is good. Unless something changes, he will be the best player in the NBA for at least the next three years, potentially more. The best part about James is that he works to make other players better therefore the ability to attract mid-level free agents is increased, and Riley showed a great ability to do so. With Wade’s new schedule keeping him fresher, it seems like he will be more of a force in the playoffs, when Miami will need him most. Spoelstra is one of the more underrated coaches in the league, as he does have great talent, but also does a good job of putting them in position to succeed. Bosh’s demeanor and lack of physicality at times makes him an easy scapegoat for this team when things are going wrong, but he is the second most valuable player behind James, as he is Miami’s one quality big, and his playing style works well for what the Heat are trying to do.

Reason for Concern: Age is starting to catch up to this team with Wade being affected the most. While it seems like this team came together relatively recently, they all have the ability to opt out of their contracts soon, something that James and Bosh seem likely to do. Their veteran role players are also getting older and closer to retirement and Miami might have some issues replacing them. They consistently do not have enough quality depth inside with no true resolution in sight. Bosh is more likely to leave than James, although it seems likely both will stay, but either way the team will run out of ways to make constant improvements due to age and salaries, while their chief rivals will be able to catch up.

Key Decision Looming: When is the right time to end the Big Three era? Heat created their identity based on Bosh, James, and Wade, but a day will come when those three cannot lead their team to a NBA Title anymore. Wade seems to be the first one to potentially decline out of the situation, but he would also likely be the most difficult for the Heat franchise to move on from. James and Bosh also seem likely to opt out of their deals this offseason, in hopes of getting more long term money, or potentially leaving for greener pastures. Both should stay in Miami to see how many titles they can win together, but the salary associated with Wade will make it difficult to bring in more help as time goes. The new CBA will make it difficult on the Heat to continue to add to the team, but they should stick with the Big Three and allow veterans to take small deals to chase a championship.

1. Oklahoma City Thunder
Key Assets: Kevin Durant, Russell Westbrook, Serge Ibaka, Reggie Jackson, Steven Adams, Jeremy Lamb.

Reason for Hope: They have the best young core in the NBA as Durant, Westbrook, and Ibaka are all still 25 and under. Durant is the likely heir to the best player in the NBA throne, for when LeBron begins to fade. Westbrook, when healthy, is also a top 10 player. Each of these players is still showing signs of improvement.. Thunder have also done a great job continuing to add young talent to their rotation. While Jackson, Adams, and Lamb are no James Harden, they are providing solid bench production. If they are able to bring it when it matters most, this team will continue to contend. Perry Jones III still has enough raw potential to possibly develop into a scary player off the bench, but he is a player nobody discusses.

Reason for Concern: Westbrook’s knee has been operated on three times in the last eight months. For a player that has overwhelming athletic ability, it will be interesting to see if this causes him to dramatically alter his game, and if it will affect his ability to dominate. The team is still oddly committed to Kendrick Perkins, and due to the handling of James Harden, the upcoming contract for Jackson has people wondering how the Thunder will handle it. The Thunder benefited by dominating the draft for three straight years, but now they will have to retain their stars for their full careers while having an ownership that seems unwilling to pay the luxury tax, something that could eventually cause key players to move on willingly or not be retained.

Key Decision Looming: Can they afford Jackson? Until they win a title, the Thunder will always be haunted by the handling of the Harden trade. It is not as bad as most have made it seem, as they were able to acquire Lamb and Adams, whom are not likely to ever equal Harden’s superstardom, but will be able to contribute on this team. They do have a similar situation coming up with Jackson’s contract. He proved to be a great bench player behind Westbrook, and even held his own when called upon to start with Westbrook down with injury. Luckily Perkins will eventually see his contract expire and Thunder will have to decide between paying Jackson or trading him for a pile of assets. With Westbrook’s injury concerns, having Jackson lead the bench or the starters is a must, even though it may cost the team.


 
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